Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.358320 3.923692 4.523949 5.205578 5.955014 6.750884 7.656919
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.467410 3.228722 4.097165 5.147779 6.371076 7.737815 9.367382
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.839151 2.692047 3.734015 5.068587 6.700769 8.601809 10.952578
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.516848 2.454058 3.668941 5.299650 7.372607 9.864473 13.029671
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.202266 2.160292 3.479173 5.331730 7.773236 10.793284 14.721491
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.038302 2.042093 3.495203 5.611908 8.480684 12.106790 16.906922
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.891317 1.918650 3.480249 5.833777 9.105839 13.322208 18.990443
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.742228 1.760834 3.390249 5.931734 9.554618 14.310517 20.798253
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.589186 1.562501 3.210154 5.875968 9.776138 14.993771 22.216644
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.497067 1.454901 3.156920 5.995256 10.235646 15.993907 24.057059
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.418189 1.354700 3.101182 6.099775 10.668815 16.960097 25.862774
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.320171 1.187014 2.906778 5.967659 10.743850 17.429557 27.007779
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.235783 1.025038 2.703865 5.810087 10.779538 17.854869 28.119324
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.179536 0.912764 2.577344 5.766031 10.979672 18.511478 29.554948
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.132167 0.803752 2.439888 5.689278 11.120734 19.081973 30.878239
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.116053 0.787226 2.490922 5.943900 11.786375 20.418113 33.280599
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.089531 0.720689 2.424422 5.980844 12.103902 21.251894 34.992550
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.080887 0.719298 2.502616 6.285095 12.858015 22.736272 37.635891
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.070219 0.704016 2.546286 6.525475 13.512726 24.083177 40.101039
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.055794 0.662044 2.520671 6.631574 13.947688 25.109249 42.122816
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.038945 0.591453 2.413361 6.571474 14.101756 25.714994 43.550599
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.030629 0.561282 2.403800 6.700380 14.573377 26.803067 45.679190
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.023526 0.530576 2.387707 6.813251 15.017786 27.853432 47.761800